War, yes, but when

Let your plans be as dark as night and when you move, strike like thunder. – Sun Tzu, The Art of War

AS it is a challenge to war strategists on both sides of the global conflict, so it is to a film scenarist whose passion is to draw up the various components of the opposing strategies and determine with precision where battles will lead to one’s either victory or defeat. In this regard, the film scenarist puts one over the war strategists. While the latter can only at best plan out at the moment their moves onward to the actual explosions of skirmishes in the war arena, the former writes the details already of those explosions of skirmishes as early as now and declares who of the two protagonists is the vanquished, who the victor.So, here’s how the current war scenario transpires in the screenplay writer’s drawing board.

Powerful warships of the United States intrude ominously into the South China Sea, waters that are not part of its national domain. US invokes so-called freedom of navigation operations, certainly a valid claim. But it must be obvious that such freedom must apply to non-military vessels, since warships whose very nature is belligerent have no business sailing, nay, dropping anchor, in waters not their own. When war vessels transgress territorial waters of other countries, such transgression cannot but be, indeed, an act of war.

At the same time, Japan abandons its no-war policy, transforms its armed forces overnight such as to approximate the strength and power of the Japanese Imperial Army in the lead up to World War 2. South Korea matches its archenemy North Korea’s nuclear might, testing as many nuclear missiles as NoKor’s own.

China has begun stepping out of its apparent calm bearing, slamming US incursions into the Indo-Pacific, and on a number of occasions come into near-encounter with US air and seacraft. Credit the pilots and naval commanders that they still managed to exercise restraint, the potential of combat became limited only to radio challenges.

Cut to the Ukraine crisis. Moves are apparent that US and NATO’s commitment of arms support to Ukraine in its conflict with Russia are finally forthcoming. Particularly United Kingdom’s touted armor penetrating shells are reputed to approximate nuclear weapon already. Once delivered to Ukraine, these shells are expected to prompt President Vladimir Putin to match them with corresponding nuclear-tinged weaponry, increasingly escalating the conflict to nuclear level.

Cut back to the South China Sea. The joint sea patrols being participated in by the United States, Japan, the Philippines and Australia are being slammed by China as maneuvers aimed against it. And it does appear that China’s deployment of its own gray ships together with Chinese Coast Guard vessels are a display of its resolve to combat US naval attack head on.

If this were a film scenario indeed and the scenarist is wellequipped with historical research, he should not miss the splendid lesson of the D-Day in Normandy in which the Allied forces misled the Germans into believing that Allied retaking of France from the Nazi occupiers would take place at Pas du Calais, the nearest point to the United Kingdom across the English Channel. The deception was complete with troops movements in their thousands, diggings of trenches, setting up of facilities, and regular fake radio transmissions meant for the Germans to intercept. Called Operation Overlord, it actually involved the deployment of 150,000 Allied troops not at Pas du Calais as the Germans prepared for, but at Normandy where the Allied soldiers landed mostly on parachutes. That went down in history as D-Day. The Germans were totally caught by surprise and were pushed back to their home country in what turned out to be the beginning of the end of the Nazi conquests in World War 2.

At the moment, a group that remains to be small is seriously starting a movement aimed at saving the Filipino people from the deaths and destruction that has visited the Ukraine people on account of its war with Russia. Called Save the Philippines, one challenge the group must seriously overcome is how to make sense out of all the movements taking place both in Europe and in the Indo-Pacific.

It is clear in the case of Ukraine that the Russian attack is justified by the decades-old encircling maneuver of Russia by US-NATO. It really is a phenomenon that for all of the demonizing US and European powers have undertaken of Russian President Vladimir Putin, the Russian leader has remained in good graces with the rest of the world. In fact, the Brics (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa) have even increased in membership, indicating increasing sympathy with Russia in its resolve to defeat Ukraine.

The Ukraine war is a done deal in Europe. It is ongoing. And with the increased support it gets from both the military and economic powers of the world, Russia is certain to prevail over the long term.

What remains undone is the war in the Indo-Pacific. What will it be like? With the deployment of warships in the South China Sea both by China and the US, and its allies, it looks like a grand naval battle is in the making. But the US naval moves and those of its allies are too obvious for comfort. Considering US mastery at the art of deceit and subterfuge, the real US objective must be something in the mold of Operation Overlord that resulted in Allied victory over Germany in Normandy and eventually in the entire Europe in World War 2.

Save the Philippines takes it upon its shoulders to unravel the real US maneuver in the Indo-Pacific. Only by doing so will it be able to deliver the Filipino nation from the clutches of war which at the moment remain concealed in propaganda. So, it seizes upon every opportunity to be enlightened on the matter.

On April 4, it plans to participate in the 7th Bilateral Consultations Mechanism (BCM) on the South China Sea to be held at the University of the Philippines Asian Center. The consultations are aimed at primarily finding ways to avert the war the United States has actually programmed the Philippines to be its proxy of; in fact, the creation of the Enhanced Defense Cooperation Agreement by which the US is given “agreed locations” inside Philippine military bases for deployment of American troops and war armaments was made as a vital cog in US strategy that led to the Ukraine war.

For a time, it did look like President Ferdinand “Bongbong” Marcos Jr. has forever fallen into the American gambit of using the Philippines as proxy for its war with China. Of late, however, when tensions in the South China Sea appeared headed for warlike proportions, Bongbong saw fit to establish bilateral consultations with China over the issue.

According to the President, tensions in the South China Sea are a result of lack of communication. And it was cause for much relief when consultations were scheduled between the Philippines Undersecretary of Foreign Affairs and Chinese Deputy Minister of Foreign Affairs precisely aimed at diffusing the South China Sea tensions.

One particular aspect that both the consultations between Chinese and Philippine foreign deputy ministers, and those of the 7th BCM on the South China Sea is the propensity of the US to resort to false flag just to make sure its war strategy is carried out as planned.

Save the Philippines will unravel historical proofs of this US propensity and that in the event the Philippines decides to squeeze itself out of the US military gauntlet, US will not lose time dealing its last card: false flag.